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Speculative Flow Index (Arbitrum)
Tier 1

Measures the asset's sensitivity to speculative flows, captures the lead-lag relationship.

Overview

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ARB Price with Speculative Flow Index

Factor Plot

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▆ Very Low▆ Low▆ Moderate▆ High▆ Very High

-0.06

Measures the asset's sensitivity to speculative flows, captures the lead-lag relationship.

Components

US Cloud Computing Sector Momentum SpilloverTech Sector Momentum SpilloverHigh Yield Bond Momentum Spillover
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Scatter plot - Speculative Flow Index and ARB 30 and 90 Day Average Returns

Backtest - Strategy Performance

Benchmark (Arbitrum)Strategy
-88.3%
-84.2%
96.3%
78.8%
-0.13
-0.29
-44.4%
-41.4%
0.00
-0.06
1.00
0.80

Predictive factors are designed to be translated into simple long-only strategy, with simulated past performance:

  • 100% Long when the predictive factor is close to 1, with a position size equivalent to the predictive factor value.
  • Flat when the predictive factor is close to 0, with a position size equivalent to the predictive factor value.

The strategy is rebalanced daily, on a continuous basis. There are 0.05% transaction costs applied on each position adjustment.

Replicate the backtest

Get started by replicating the historical performance with our code snippets.

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