Leverage Risk Index (Bitcoin)

To understand a predictive factors predictive power, we create a simple long/short strategy and simulate its past performance (with daily rebalancing):

• 100% Long when the predictive factor is close to 1, with a position size equivalent to the predictive factor value.
• Flat when the predictive factor is close to 0, with a position size equivalent to the predictive factor value.

The strategy is rebalanced daily, on a continuous basis. There are 0.5% transaction costs applied on each position adjustment.