Predictive Strength
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Predictive Strength
Measures the total volume of liquidations across all exchanges.
Perpetual futures markets exhibit predictable leverage dynamics:
High liquidation volumes → Reduced open interest → Lower systemic risk → Foundation for next leverage wave.
Large long liquidation clusters create immediate sell pressure as exchanges automatically close positions. This converts paper losses into realized price impact, often triggering stop-loss orders and margin calls for other leveraged longs.
To understand a predictive factors predictive power, we create a simple long/short strategy and simulate its past performance (with daily rebalancing):
The strategy is rebalanced daily, on a continuous basis. There are 0.5% transaction costs applied on each position adjustment.
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Predictive Strength
Predictive Strength
Predictive Strength