Overview

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BTC Price with High Yield Bond Momentum Spillover

Factor Plot

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▆ Very Low▆ Low▆ Moderate▆ High▆ Very High

High Yield Bonds Momentum Spillover measures the asset's sensitivity to high yield corporate bonds' momentum. It's designed to effectively capture the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.

Elevated high-yield bond rates, often reflective of heightened risk premiums and tighter credit conditions, may exert dual pressures on the crypto market, where rising junk bond yields signal a broader flight to safety amid economic uncertainty.

Read more about our methodology
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Scatter plot - High Yield Bond Momentum Spillover and BTC 30 and 90 Day Average Returns

Backtest - Strategy Performance

Benchmark (Bitcoin)Strategy
100%
100%
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1.00
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100%
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1.00
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To understand a predictive factors predictive power, we create a simple long-only strategy and simulate its past performance (with daily rebalancing):

  • 100% Long when the predictive factor is close to 1, with a position size equivalent to the predictive factor value.
  • Flat when the predictive factor is close to 0, with a position size equivalent to the predictive factor value.

The strategy is rebalanced daily, on a continuous basis. There are 0.5% transaction costs applied on each position adjustment.

API

Get started by validating the historical performance of the strategy with our transparent code snippets.
Copy and paste the code snippets below into your Python environment or download the files below.

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Our Methodology